Modelled Wellbeing Index
The Modelled Wellbeing Index is a weighted composite of material and security indicators, not a measure of happiness. Its weights are a value judgement and are editable. Individual dimensions are more informative than the total.
Baseline index
59.2
The weighted sum of the nine dimensions below at their baseline levels. A scenario moves the dimensions; the index follows.
This is a transparent aggregation of material and security indicators. It is not a measure of happiness, it is not comparable across countries or time, and its weights are a value judgement rather than a finding — which is why they are exposed and editable in the workspace rather than hidden in the engine.
The nine dimensions
Each maps to a variable in the causal graph. Weights shown are the defaults.
Financial securityweight 20%
Freedom from financial pressure: debt servicing, housing costs, savings buffer and job risk.
Disposable incomeweight 16%
Real household income after tax, transfers and prices — material living standards.
Employment securityweight 14%
Confidence of keeping a job, and of finding another one if it goes.
Housing securityweight 13%
Confidence of staying in your home at a cost you can carry.
Economic flexibilityweight 11%
Room to move: discretionary spending, savings capacity, and the ability to change job or home.
Health accessweight 10%
Being able to get care when you need it, at a cost you can meet.
Future confidenceweight 6%
Whether households expect their position to improve.
Time and congestionweight 5%
Time lost to commuting and to queuing for services.
Community stabilityweight 5%
Social cohesion and participation. The weakest input in the index — treat as directional only.
Household Economic Flexibility
Deliberately not called 'freedom'. The metric measures material capacity — discretionary income, savings buffer, debt burden, housing security, employment mobility and the practical ability to relocate — and makes no claim about autonomy or opportunity in any broader sense.
- · Discretionary income after housing and essentials
- · Savings capacity, in months of consumption
- · Committed debt servicing as a share of income
- · Housing security given tenure and cost burden
- · Employment mobility, from vacancies and slack
- · Ability to relocate, from rental vacancy
What this does not do
· It does not diagnose anything. The psychological indicators are population-level pressure proxies derived from socioeconomic relationships, and no clinical or mental-health interpretation is intended or supported.
· It does not measure health, relationships, purpose, safety or community beyond a crude proxy. Those matter more than anything here, and this model cannot see them.
· It does not settle a policy question. Two reasonable people can weight housing security against disposable income differently and both be right. Change the weights and see whether your conclusion survives.
· It is the least reliable output in this product. Every dimension carries LOW or EXPERIMENTAL confidence, and the individual dimensions are more informative than the total.